| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | No | $0.9989 | — | $334.7K | $648.0K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0.5000 | — | $306.0K | $6.0K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0.5000 | — | $294.0K | $-6.0K |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | $0.9989 | — | $122.2K | $17.6K |
| US strikes Yemen by December 31? | Yes | $0.9990 | — | $58.2K | $29 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0.8953 | — | $35.2K | $54.9K |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | $0.9978 | — | $25.9K | $1.8K |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | $0.7134 | — | $8.1K | $-1.2K |
| Erdoğan out by end of 2026? | No | $0.8101 | — | $7.5K | $2.2K |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0.9399 | — | $6.8K | $67.3K |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0.7065 | — | $5.9K | $-2.5K |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | No | $0.9437 | — | $4.7K | $1.2K |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0.9970 | — | $4.4K | $3.3K |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0.9960 | — | $2.2K | $6 |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0.9930 | — | $2.0K | $14 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | Yes | $0.9394 | — | $1.6K | $309 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026? | No | $0.7800 | — | $1.5K | $641 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0.0030 | — | $1.2K | $67 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | $0.9240 | — | $986 | $25 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0.0428 | — | $916 | $-66.9K |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.6300 | — | $900 | -$500 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | $0.7300 | — | $889 | $78 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $0.7208 | — | $854 | -$286 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0.8800 | — | $685 | -$195 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? | No | $0.2000 | — | $589 | $79 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0.3100 | — | $370 | $60 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.1999 | — | $328 | $106 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | Yes | $0.2382 | — | $151 | -$281 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0.0329 | — | $118 | $-5.0K |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0.0400 | — | $105 | $-1.2K |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0.0560 | — | $80 | $-56.1K |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0.0079 | — | $36 | -$54 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0.4664 | — | $8 | $16 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0.0030 | — | $7 | -$177 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0.4684 | — | $7 | $7.9K |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | $0.9313 | — | $0 | $-6.3K |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? | Yes | $0.0167 | — | $0 | $-9.0K |
| Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0039 | — | $0 | $-2.1K |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents? | No | $0.0100 | — | $0 | -$72 |
| Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $-2.7K |
| Will Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $110 |
| Will Borderlands 4 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $135 |
| Will Doom: The Dark Ages win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $110 |
| Will Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $-4.3K |
| Will Metroid Prime 4: Beyond win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $31 |
| Will Mafia: The Old Country win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $31 |
| Will Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $130 |
| Will Elden Ring: Nightreign win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $31 |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | -$390 |
| Will Mario Kart World win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $128 |
| Will Monster Hunter Wilds win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $131 |
| Will The Outer Worlds 2 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0012 | — | $0 | $110 |
| Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision? | Yes | $0.0191 | — | $0 | $-12.6K |
| Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ? | Yes | $0.0232 | — | $0 | $-13.2K |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | $0.0130 | — | $0 | -$955 |
| Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios | Sabalenka | $0.0511 | — | $0 | -$199 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | $0.0050 | — | $0 | $-6.1K |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ? | No | $0.2460 | — | $0 | $-1.6K |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | $0.0020 | — | $0 | -$8 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m? | Yes | -$0.0144 | — | $0 | $58 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? | Yes | -$0.0144 | — | $0 | $58 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m? | Yes | -$0.0144 | — | $0 | $58 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in no change with ≤2 dissents? | Yes | -$0.3170 | — | $0 | $1.2K |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in no change with >2 dissents? | Yes | -$0.3170 | — | $0 | $1.2K |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.5058 | — | $0 | $-1.7K |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15? | Yes | $0.0030 | — | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | No | $0.0212 | — | $0 | $-15.7K |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0.0061 | — | $0 | -$870 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Yes | $0.0841 | — | $0 | $-3.7K |
| Will Jara win by less than 5%? | Yes | $0.0019 | — | $0 | -$4 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman? | Yes | $0.0809 | — | $0 | -$751 |
| Will Trump resign in 2025? | Yes | $0.0190 | — | $0 | $-3.2K |
| US national Ethereum reserve in 2025? | Yes | $0.1787 | — | $0 | -$927 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | $0.0835 | — | $0 | -$143 |
| Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | $0.0011 | — | $0 | $-7.6K |
| Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result? | Yes | $0.0111 | — | $0 | -$844 |
| Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-2.8K |
| Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-2.7K |
| Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-3.9K |
| Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-4.9K |
| Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-2.7K |
| Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-5.5K |
| Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $54 |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-4.7K |
| Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-3.3K |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-4.4K |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-10.5K |
| Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $56 |
| Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $43 |
| Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | $-6.5K |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | No | $0.5000 | — | $0 | $-15.0K |
| Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | -$0.0036 | — | $0 | $62 |
| Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | -$0.0036 | — | $0 | $62 |
| Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0029 | — | $0 | $-1.1K |
| Will the fight end in a draw? | Yes | $0.0140 | — | $0 | $-5.7K |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | No | $0.7950 | — | $0 | -$564 |
| Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $0.0027 | — | $0 | $-3.0K |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0.1198 | — | $0 | -$867 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | No | $0.1951 | — | $0 | -$258 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $0 | — | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | No | $0.7461 | — | $0 | -$775 |
| Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31? | Yes | $0.0948 | — | $0 | -$114 |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%? | Yes | $0.0551 | — | $0 | -$122 |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%? | Yes | $0.0127 | — | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0.0110 | — | $0 | $-1.2K |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | $0.7899 | — | $0 | $21 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20? | No | $0.0920 | — | $0 | -$49 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Yes | $0.0760 | — | $0 | $-32.5K |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Tate | $0.8500 | — | $0 | -$944 |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | Yes | $0.0603 | — | $0 | -$62 |
| Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025? | Yes | $0.1589 | — | $0 | $629 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | No | $0.0940 | — | $0 | -$986 |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%? | Yes | $0.0020 | — | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | Yes | $0.0770 | — | $0 | -$78 |