Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Category: Politics
Created: Jan 5, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
PoliticsTrumpImmigrationTrump Presidency2025 PredictionsImmigration/BorderU.S. Politics
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Bids

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Asks

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.6900
24h Change-5.00%
24h Volume$1.3K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$774.9K
Liquidity$2.4K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
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About this Market

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.