Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Category: Culture
Created: Dec 4, 2025
Closes: Jun 30, 2026
ScienceWeatherCulture
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

Connecting

Bids

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Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0350
24h Change-0.05%
24h Volume$130
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$56.6K
Liquidity$2.1K
Open Interest$1.1K
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.