Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Category: World
Created: Dec 17, 2025
Closes: Mar 31, 2026
GeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorldPoliticsVenezuelaMacro Geopolitics
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0110
24h Change-0.15%
24h Volume$29.0K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$7.70M
Liquidity$115.8K
Open Interest$841.0K
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.