Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Category: Politics
Created: Dec 19, 2025
Closes: Nov 3, 2026
PoliticsUS ElectionTrumpElections
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.1200
24h Change+1.50%
24h Volume$191
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$3.6K
Liquidity$4.8K
Open Interest$88
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
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About this Market

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.