Will the median home value in the US be between $414,000 and $416,000 by February 1?

Will the median home value in the US be between $414,000 and $416,000 by February 1?

Category: Economy
Created: Jan 5, 2026
Closes: Feb 1, 2026
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

Connecting

Bids

PriceSize

Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.1380
24h Change-0.10%
24h Volume$2
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$668
Liquidity$1.6K
Open Interest$203
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on February 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on February 1, 2026. If no data for February 1 is released by February 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/6)

Will the median home value in the US be between $414,000 and $416,000 by February 1? | Polymarkets | PolyLeviathan