Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Category: Politics
Created: Nov 18, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
PoliticsFedFed RatesEconomyJerome PowellEconomic PolicyMacro Indicators
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.9400
24h Change0.00%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$21.9K
Liquidity$18.6K
Open Interest$1.8K
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
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About this Market

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.