Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Category: Politics
Created: Nov 12, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
PoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFed RatesEconomy
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Bids

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Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0
24h Change0.00%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$71
Liquidity$124
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | Polymarkets | PolyLeviathan