Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Category: Politics
Created: Nov 5, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
PoliticsIranMiddle EastIsraelGeopoliticsForeign PolicyWorld
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.2700
24h Change+4.00%
24h Volume$8
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$1.3K
Liquidity$2.9K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
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About this Market
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.