Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Category: Tech
Created: Nov 4, 2025
Closes: Jan 31, 2026
BusinessAITechgeminiGemini 3
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
| Price | Size |
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Asks
| Price | Size |
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.6900
24h Change+24.00%
24h Volume$4.1K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$18.3K
Liquidity$2.5K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
| Time | Trader | Side | Price | Shares | Amount (USD) | Tx |
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.