Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Category: Tech
Created: Dec 22, 2025
Closes: Jun 30, 2026
BusinessAIGrokTechDeepSeek
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

Connecting

Bids

PriceSize

Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.1570
24h Change-0.05%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$2.0K
Liquidity$4.9K
Open Interest$1.2K
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.