Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Category: Crypto
Created: Nov 26, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
CryptoScienceBitcoinquantum
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0590
24h Change+1.25%
24h Volume$38
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$112.5K
Liquidity$9.6K
Open Interest$21.6K
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
| Time | Trader | Side | Price | Shares | Amount (USD) | Tx |
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About this Market
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.