Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Category: Politics
Created: N/A
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
PoliticsnatoGeopoliticsWorld
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0
24h Change-1.00%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$10
Liquidity$2.5K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.