Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Category: SpaceX
Created: Dec 12, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Asks

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0610
24h Change+2.50%
24h Volume$75
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$1.2K
Liquidity$368
Open Interest$356
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.