US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Category: Politics
Created: Nov 13, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
PoliticsUkraineGeopoliticsWorld
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
| Price | Size |
|---|
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.3800
24h Change+12.50%
24h Volume$1.1K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$3.1K
Liquidity$11.4K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
| Time | Trader | Side | Price | Shares | Amount (USD) | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.