U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Category: Trump
Created: Nov 5, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
russiaTrumpcrimeaGeopoliticsWorld
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.1200
24h Change-5.50%
24h Volume$639
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$8.4K
Liquidity$102.0K
Open Interest$4.7K
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.