US defaults on debt by 2027?
Category: Politics
Created: Nov 5, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
PoliticsEconomy
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
| Price | Size |
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Asks
| Price | Size |
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0700
24h Change-0.50%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$1.4K
Liquidity$13.0K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
| Time | Trader | Side | Price | Shares | Amount (USD) | Tx |
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.