Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Category: World
Created: N/A
Closes: Jan 7, 2026
UkraineWorldGeopoliticsputinceasefire
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0
24h Change0.00%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$0
Liquidity$0
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
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About this Market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period. A qualifying announcement must: The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement. The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made. The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.