Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Category: Middle East
Created: Jan 14, 2026
Closes: Feb 28, 2026
IranMiddle EastGeopolitics
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Asks

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0800
24h Change+2.00%
24h Volume$337.7K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$6.36M
Liquidity$199.7K
Open Interest$2.89M
Unique Traders40
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
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About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.