0xc4d1...8ce8

0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8

PQ Score

0.11

All-Time Realized PnL

$-142.5K

90-Day Volume

$415.1K

Open Positions

Market	Outcome	Avg. Price	Shares	Current Value	Unrealized PnL
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$0.8634	—	$154.9K	$12.1K
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	No	$0.9271	—	$146.7K	$823
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?	No	$0.9696	—	$50.7K	$7.4K
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	No	$0.8517	—	$49.6K	$1.3K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	No	$0.9099	—	$38.2K	$1.8K
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?	No	$0.9138	—	$38.1K	$1.6K
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	$0.9441	—	$30.6K	$1.5K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?	No	$0.9000	—	$29.3K	$1.7K
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$0.8200	—	$24.9K	$1.9K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?	No	$0.9200	—	$24.1K	$1.1K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$0.8114	—	$22.1K	$2.7K
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	$0.9280	—	$21.3K	$1.3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	$0.8300	—	$18.8K	$1.9K
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$0.9284	—	$16.5K	$1.2K
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?	No	$0.9100	—	$14.0K	$375
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$0.8200	—	$11.1K	$697
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	$0.9469	—	$7.0K	$290
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	$0.9800	—	$6.1K	$71
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	$0.9089	—	$5.8K	$38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	$0.9355	—	$5.5K	-$100
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	$0.9600	—	$4.8K	$1.3K
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?	No	$0.8700	—	$4.2K	$397
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$0.4656	—	$4.0K	-$488
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	$0.5284	—	$3.4K	$41
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	$0.9870	—	$3.3K	$2
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	No	$0.8000	—	$3.2K	$170
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?	No	$0.3800	—	$2.8K	$1.7K
US civil war in 2025?	No	$0.9498	—	$2.5K	$65
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	$0.9793	—	$2.4K	$30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?	No	$0.9000	—	$1.9K	$152
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	$0.9600	—	$1.8K	$60
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.4997	—	$1.6K	$-8.4K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0525	—	$1.1K	-$114
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	No	$0.9655	—	$863	$8
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	$0.4300	—	$791	-$29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	$0.8391	—	$694	-$39
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	$0.9500	—	$680	$15
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	$0.9786	—	$490	$2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$0.0400	—	$396	$76
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$0.0285	—	$362	-$107
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	$0.9560	—	$199	$7
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	$0.9400	—	$191	$6
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$0.0400	—	$102	$23
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	$0.9600	—	$98	$2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?	Yes	$0.3715	—	$91	$55
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0714	—	$33	-$32
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0100	—	$30	$4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0400	—	$26	-$474
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0110	—	$23	-$16
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0200	—	$6	-$8
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0208	—	$5	-$31
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	$0.0100	—	$0	-$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$0.3578	—	$0	$-1.4K
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?	No	$0.3800	—	$0	-$96
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?	No	$0.4100	—	$0	-$70
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-10-18?	Yes	$0.1100	—	$0	-$11