Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
Category: Economy
Created: Nov 12, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2026
FinanceFed RatesEconomyJerome PowellTreasuries
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.8900
24h Change-0.50%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$15
Liquidity$218
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
| Time | Trader | Side | Price | Shares | Amount (USD) | Tx |
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).