Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?
Category: Politics
Created: May 28, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
PoliticsUkraineGeopoliticsWorld
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0130
24h Change0.00%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$54.6K
Liquidity$6.6K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Finland between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Finland or Russia as of May 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.