Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?

Category: Science
Created: Oct 9, 2025
Closes: Nov 10, 2025
Science
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Asks

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0600
24h Change+2.10%
24h Volume$992
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$3.5K
Liquidity$373
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released. An anomaly of a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.