Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

Category: SpaceX
Created: Jan 1, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
SpaceXScienceElon Muskspace2025 Predictions
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

Connecting

Bids

PriceSize

Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0030
24h Change+0.10%
24h Volume$164
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$40.1K
Liquidity$2.8K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 10 (inclusive) and 12 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? | Polymarkets | PolyLeviathan