US defaults on debt in 2025?

US defaults on debt in 2025?

Category: Politics
Created: Apr 8, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
Politicsus governmentgovernmentEconomy
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Bids

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Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0140
24h Change+0.05%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$83.9K
Liquidity$6.5K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between April 8 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.