Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?

Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?

Category: Politics
Created: Jun 19, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
Military ActionsPoliticsTrumpMiddle EastGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorldAfghanistan
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Asks

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0170
24h Change+0.05%
24h Volume$371
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$117.1K
Liquidity$25.9K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Afghanistan between June 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Afghanistan or the United States as of June 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | Polymarkets | PolyLeviathan