Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Category: Politics
Created: Jan 29, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
PoliticsChinaGeopoliticsWorldForeign Policy
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0280
24h Change-0.10%
24h Volume$32.9K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$6.93M
Liquidity$193.7K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders40
Whale Concentration
10.75Market Concentration (HHI)
0.19Recent Trades
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.