Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Category: Politics
Created: Jan 23, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
PoliticsMiddle EastGeopoliticsIsraelWorldForeign PolicyIranUS-Iran
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Bids

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Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0320
24h Change-1.05%
24h Volume$6.3K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$2.82M
Liquidity$54.2K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | Polymarkets | PolyLeviathan