Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
Category: Tech
Created: Jul 3, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
BusinessAITechGeopoliticsDeepSeek
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
| Price | Size |
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Asks
| Price | Size |
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0900
24h Change-1.50%
24h Volume$2.4K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$174.1K
Liquidity$13.4K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
| Time | Trader | Side | Price | Shares | Amount (USD) | Tx |
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.