Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Category: Trump
Created: Apr 15, 2025
Closes: Feb 28, 2026
TrumpTrump PresidencyTrade War
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Asks

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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.5200
24h Change-1.50%
24h Volume$146
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$125.0K
Liquidity$7.4K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.