Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Category: Tech
Created: Feb 27, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
Big TechElon MuskTechAIteslaBusiness
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0800
24h Change+1.10%
24h Volume$614
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$879.7K
Liquidity$94.1K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
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About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.