Jair Bolsonaro in jail by January 31?
Category: Politics
Created: Nov 7, 2025
Closes: Jan 31, 2026
PoliticsGeopoliticsWorld
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
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Asks
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.7600
24h Change+7.50%
24h Volume$11
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$3.3K
Liquidity$847
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00Recent Trades
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time by January 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.