Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?

Category: Culture
Created: Oct 31, 2025
Closes: Nov 15, 2025
ScienceWeatherCulture
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

Connecting

Bids

PriceSize

Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.3700
24h Change+4.50%
24h Volume$1.1K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$4.3K
Liquidity$2.0K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between October 30, 7:00 PM ET, and November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until November 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15? | Polymarkets | PolyLeviathan