Will Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31?

Will Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31?

Category: Politics
Created: Sep 11, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 2026
PoliticsTrumpTrump PresidencyApproval
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

Connecting

Bids

PriceSize

Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0050
24h Change0.00%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$7.2K
Liquidity$10.6K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 31, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Will Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31? | Polymarkets | PolyLeviathan