Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?

Category: Economy
Created: Apr 9, 2025
Closes: Dec 31, 2025
TreasuriesFed RatesEconomyTrump PresidencyTrade WarJerome Powell
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.

Live Orderbook

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Bids

PriceSize

Asks

PriceSize
PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.0260
24h Change-0.25%
24h Volume$0
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$167.2K
Liquidity$15.5K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders0
Whale Concentration
0.00
Market Concentration (HHI)
0.00
Recent Trades
TimeTraderSidePriceSharesAmount (USD)Tx
About this Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).