This is a market on how whether 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) will have the third-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 14 - 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) grosses the third-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If three other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
