This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:
- Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download
- OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser
- Apple releases a new AirTag product
- Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public
- Grokipedia is made available to the general public
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
Qualifying releases during this market's timeframe will count, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Tech.pdf
