This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 25 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify.
The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.
Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
