Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Category: Crypto
Created: Sep 17, 2025
Closes: N/A
CryptoAirdropsFeaturedPre-Market
Price History
Historical price data for the 'YES' outcome.
Live Orderbook
ConnectingBids
| Price | Size |
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Asks
| Price | Size |
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PQ Score Distribution
Shows the number of shares held by traders in different PQ Score brackets, separated by outcome.
Market Analysis
Key metrics for this market.
Current Price$0.6100
24h Change-3.50%
24h Volume$8.3K
7d Volume$0
Total Volume$886.1K
Liquidity$34.6K
Open Interest$0
Unique Traders40
Whale Concentration
-9.42Market Concentration (HHI)
0.07Recent Trades
| Time | Trader | Side | Price | Shares | Amount (USD) | Tx |
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About this Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."